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2008 Presidential Race Forums > Presidential Candidates > Barack Obama > Augula Factor - Wine Track or Beer Track

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Augula Factor - Wine Track or Beer Track
 Moderated by: advwomen  

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advwomen
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 Posted: Sat Aug 18th, 2007 04:04 pm

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When Barak asked Iowa farmers if anyone had been to Whole Foods lately and priced argula, it may have been a slip up on the scale of Dukakis asking them about endive or Bush, Sr not knowing the price of milk or how a grocery scanner works.

For the past 40 years, Democratic nominating contests have pitted "wine track" candidates (backed by young, well-off, college-educated elites) against "beer track" opponents (who cultivate a less-educated coalition of minorities and blue-collar workers).

At the moment, Clinton leads in this category. According to the latest Cook Political Report survey, Hillary Clinton polls 12 points higher among voters who haven't graduated from college than those who have; Obama's numbers are reversed. His problem: only 34 percent of likely Democratic primary voters have college degrees.

"If you don't develop a solid base among downscale Dems, it's very hard to get the nomination," says demographer Ruy Teixeira. Unless Obama gets off the wine track, he could end up the latest in a long line of brainy, reformist also-rans like Gary Hart, Paul Tsongas and Bill Bradley.

Thus far Clinton seems to be very popular with grizzled veterans, union members, truck drivers.... as well as a lot of elitest brainiacs... not a bad position to be in.

advwomen ;)


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